- PRESS RELEASE: GoNigeria stands in solidarity with Nigerian Voters over 2023 elections.
- PRESS RELEASE: RIVERS: PDP's Siminalayi Fubara maintains lead, but SDP’s Magnus Abe has momentum.
- PRESS RELEASE: LAGOS: Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu maintains lead, but Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour has momentum.
- Press Release: 15 February, 2023. 2023 Elections: Peter Obi maintains lead amongst Presidential Poll Respondents
- Press Release: 21 December 2022. Peter Obi consolidates lead in a Fragmented Presidential Race
- PRESS RELEASE: 24 November 2022. A call for Zero Tolerance for Hate Speech & Violence
- Press Release: KANO: Abba Kabir Yusuf of NNPP Has An Early Lead in a 2-Horse Race
- Press Release: PDP's Siminalayi Fubara has a narrow lead in a Severely Fragmented Race
- Press Release: Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq’s Lead Might Be Unassailable
- Press Release: 07 November 2022: ABIA: Alex Otti of Labour Party has a significant early lead
- Press Release: 07 November 2022. LAGOS: Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu’s Lead might be Unassailable as Opposition Votes are Fragmented
- PRESS RELEASE: 18 September 2022. Methodology Statement - NOI Polls
- Press Release: 15 September 2022. A 3-horse Presidential Race and a lone outsider
- Press Release: 10 May 2022. Ekiti Governorship Poll: PDP running a distant 3rd
- PRESS RELEASE 10: 04 FEBRUARY 2021: MEDIA HOUSES COLLABORATE AND JOIN THE ANAP FOUNDATION COVID-19 HALL OF SHAME INITIATIVE.
- PRESS RELEASE 09: 26 DECEMBER 2020: COVID-19: THE SECOND WAVE IS UPON US; WE MUST ACT CLEVER
- Press Release 08: 23 September 2020: BREACHING OF FUNERAL AND PUBLIC GATHERING PROTOCOLS
- Press Release 07: 05 July 2020: COVID-19: REOPENING SCHOOLS NOW IS PREMATURE
- Press Release 06: 10 May 2020: COVID-19: PLEA FOR CURFEW RELAXATION & LONGER OPENING HOURS TO REDUCE OVERCROWDING
- PRESS RELEASE 05: 23 April 2020: COVID-19: TIME TO CHANGE STRATEGY TOWARDS INTELLIGENT LOCKDOWNS & VOLUNTARY COMPLIANCE
- Press release 04: 18 April 2020: THE BURIAL OF ABBA KYARI: AN APPEAL FOR THE ENFORCEMENT OF SOCIAL DISTANCING
- PRESS RELEASE 03:14 April 2020: EXTENSION OF THE LOCKDOWN IN LAGOS, OGUN & FCT PLUS EMBRACING SOCIAL DISTANCING NATIONWIDE
- PRESS RELEASE 02: 11 April, 2020: COVID-19: The Federal Ministry of Health and the Nigeria Medical Association - An Urgent Call for Collaborative Action!
- PRESS RELEASE 01: 09 April, 2020: List of COVID-19 Critical Supplies and Equipment needed by Nigeria
- 2019 Kano Governorship Pre-Election Poll
- 2019 Rivers Governorship Pre-Election Poll
- 2019 Sokoto Governorship Pre-Election Poll
- 2019 Lagos Governorship Pre-Election Poll
- 2019 Presidential Pre-Election Poll
- PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION POLL - 16 FEBRUARY 2015
- RACE FOR THE LAGOS STATE GOVERNORSHIP SEAT - 2 FEBRUARY 2015
- RIVERS STATE GOVERNORSHIP ELECTION POLL - 30 JANUARY 2015
- KADUNA STATE GOVERNORSHIP ELECTION POLL - 29 JANUARY 2015
- EKITI STATE GOVERNORSHIP ELECTION POLL - 30 APRIL 2014
- 2011 - Presidential Election Polls - 22 March 2011
- 2011 - Lagos State Governorship Election Polls - 22 March 2011
Press Release
2015 Presidential Election Poll
16 February 2015
Abuja, Nigeria. February 16th, 2015 – Ahead of the coming 2015 presidential elections, a recent opinion poll commissioned by ANAP Foundation and conducted by NOIPolls Limited, has revealed a tightly contested race between the incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) and Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressives Congress (APC); with a very significant proportion of swing voters either still undecided or seeking confidentiality. It is worth noting that all respondents interviewed in this poll are registered voters who had either obtained their Permanent Voters Cards (PVCs) or were still in possession of Temporary Voters Cards (TVCs).
From the results, when asked who respondents will be voting for in the coming 2015 presidential elections, the figures put General Muhammadu Buhari in a slight lead (32 percent) over President Goodluck Jonathan (30 percent); indicating a 2 percentage points lead. Interestingly, both candidates enjoy decent support across gender and age groups.
Some key highlights to note – on the average, Buhari enjoys groundswell support in the North-West and North-East geo-political zones; while Jonathan remains the beautiful bride of the South-South and South-East zones. Interestingly, the high PVC collection rates in the North-West and North-East Zones (above 80% in several states) appear to have given Buhari the slight advantage over the incumbent President Jonathan as much lower PVC collection rates of below 60% have been recorded in several states in the South-East and South-South zones (Jonathan's area of strength) at the time of our survey.
It is fair to suggest that this is a very keenly contested race and too close to call for two broad reasons: 1.) There remains a very significant proportion of voters (36 percent) who remain either undecided (21 percent) or seeking confidentiality (15 percent) as to their choice of candidate; and 2.) PVC collection rates are expected to improve from the low figures initially recorded in several states. If the elections had held as originally scheduled on 14 February, close to one-third of the electorate would have been unable to vote as indicated by the poll result. Indeed at least 60 percent of the electorate in Lagos State (the largest state in the Federation) would have been unable to vote.
Furthermore, it is key to note that the battle lies in the hands of the undecided/swing voters as they would ultimately decide whether the incumbent retains his seat or Nigerians will witness a historic change of guard in the Aso Villa. Finally, the poll showed that almost 8 in 10 registered voters are absolutely (77 percent) and fairly (9 percent) certain that they would be voting in the presidential election.
NOI Polls Limited is No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa, and works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA). It conducts periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com
ANAP Foundation (ANAP) is a Non-Profit Organisation committed to promoting good governance. ANAP has been carrying out a series of Elections polls since 2011 with the main objective of providing information on opinion research during election periods. ANAP conducted similar polls for the Lagos State Governorship & Presidential elections in 2011 and for the 2014 State Governorship elections in Ekiti State and also for the Kaduna, Lagos and Rivers State Governorship elections in 2015. More information on ANAP Foundation is available at www.anapfoundation.com.